Professor Gray argues that our understanding of human nature, of politics, and of strategic history, does allow us to make prudent choices in defence planning.
Author: Colin S. Gray
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 9780198701842
Category: Political Science
Page: 238
View: 666
This title explores and examines why and how security communities prepare purposefully for their future defence. Professor Gray argues that our understanding of human nature, of politics, and of strategic history, does allow us to make prudent choices in defence planning.
This book examines four different basic frameworks for defence planning, and demonstrates how states can make decisions coherently about the structure and posture of their defence forces despite strategic uncertainty.
Author: Stephan Frühling
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 9781317817840
Category: Social Science
Page: 269
View: 239
How can countries decide what kind of military forces they need, if threats are uncertain and history is full of strategic surprises? This is a question that is more pertinent than ever, as countries across the Asia-Pacific are faced with the military and economic rise of China. Uncertainty is inherent in defence planning, but different types of uncertainty mean that countries need to approach decisions about military force structure in different ways. This book examines four different basic frameworks for defence planning, and demonstrates how states can make decisions coherently about the structure and posture of their defence forces despite strategic uncertainty. It draws on case studies from the United States, Australian and New Zealand, each of which developed key concepts for their particular circumstances and risk perception in Asia. Success as well as failure in developing coherent defence planning frameworks holds lessons for the United States and other countries as they consider how best to structure their military forces for the uncertain challenges of the future.
But once the strategic risk is assessed, it must be related to the basic questions of defence planning outlined above: its likelihood, consequences, material and political aspects, and associated uncertainties must be evaluated and ...
Author: Stephan Frühling
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 9781317817857
Category: Social Science
Page: 240
View: 701
How can countries decide what kind of military forces they need, if threats are uncertain and history is full of strategic surprises? This is a question that is more pertinent than ever, as countries across the Asia-Pacific are faced with the military and economic rise of China. Uncertainty is inherent in defence planning, but different types of uncertainty mean that countries need to approach decisions about military force structure in different ways. This book examines four different basic frameworks for defence planning, and demonstrates how states can make decisions coherently about the structure and posture of their defence forces despite strategic uncertainty. It draws on case studies from the United States, Australian and New Zealand, each of which developed key concepts for their particular circumstances and risk perception in Asia. Success as well as failure in developing coherent defence planning frameworks holds lessons for the United States and other countries as they consider how best to structure their military forces for the uncertain challenges of the future.
The erratic nature of security threats faced by the modern state demands planning for war and peace under the pressure of deep uncertainty. This condition essentially makes defence planning a persistent quest to tame Machiavelli's ...
Author: Henrik Breitenbauch
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 9781000732177
Category: History
Page: 148
View: 642
Defence Planning as Strategic Fact provides and elaborates on an "upstream" focus on the variegated organizational, political and conceptual practices of military, civilian administrative and political leaderships involved in defence planning, offering an important security and strategic studies supplement to the traditional "downstream" focus on the use of force. The book enables the reader to engage with the role of ideas in defence planning, of organizational processes and biases, path dependencies and administrative dynamics under the pressures of continuously changing domestic and international constraints. The chapters show how defence planning must be seen as a constitutive element of defence and strategic studies – that it is a strategic fact of its own which merits particular practical and scholarly attention. As defence planning creates the conditions behind every peace upheld or broken and every war won or lost, Defence Planning as Strategic Fact will be of great use to scholars of defence studies, strategic studies, and military studies. This book was originally published as a special issue of Defence Studies.
Frühling, Defence Planning and Uncertainty, 204. 46. Frühling, Defence Planning and Uncertainty, 3. 47. Paul K. Davis, Lessons from RAND's Work on Planning Under Uncer- tainty for National Security (Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, ...
Author: Marc Schelhase
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9783031119682
Category: Political Science
Page: 186
View: 267
This book is about risk conceptions, experiences and reflections. It applies the concept of the risk triangle, with its societal, organisational and personal angles, to two areas of inquiry: financial markets and the military, seeking to demonstrate the challenges, dilemmas and, in many ways, also the impossibilities of risk analysis and risk management. Drawing on empirical and micro- and macro-level analysis, this innovative work will appeal to students of political science, economics and business as well as to risk professionals and risk-takers.
Author: Ryo Hinata-YamaguchiPublish On: 2021-04-27
Nicolas Rashevsky and Ernesto Trucco (Ann Arbor, MI: Boxwood Press, 1978), 12–13. 25 Gray, Strategy and Defence Planning: Meeting the Challenge of Uncertainty, 19. 26 For through discussions on this topic, see: Graham T. Allison, ...
Author: Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 9781000383096
Category: Political Science
Page: 208
View: 653
How has North Korea developed and managed its military readiness to achieve its strategic ends? Hinata-Yamaguchi analyzes North Korea’s defense planning by looking at how political, economic, and societal factors affect the Korean People’s Army’s (KPA) readiness and strategies. He answers four key questions: How have the internal and external factors shaped North Korea’s security strategy? How do the political, economic, societal, and environmental factors impact North Korea’s defense planning? What are North Korea’s defense planning dilemmas and how do they impact the KPA’s readiness? What are the key implications for regional security and the strategies against North Korea? This analysis, drawing on various Korean, English, Japanese, and Chinese sources on North Korea and military affairs, will be of great value to strategists and policy analysts as well as scholars of East Asian security issues.
Defense planning faces significant uncertainties. This report applies robust decision making (RDM) to the munitions mix challenge, to demonstrate how RDM could help defense planners make plans more robust to a wide range of hard-to-predict futures.
As the country heads towards a new era, this book provides an in-depth overview and key insights into the past, present and future of Australia's defence.
Author: Stephan Fruhling
Publisher: Melbourne University Press
ISBN: 0522866077
Category: Australia
Page: 344
View: 864
Almost half a century ago, the Australian National University's TB Millar penned a seminal book on Australian defence policy in the lead up to the Vietnam War. Today, Australia's defence forces are returning from long conflicts overseas, while the rise of China and the economic integration in the Indo-Pacific presents a complex mix of challenges and opportunities. Drawing inspiration from Millar's original volume, Australia's Defence: Towards a New Era? brings together leading experts to examine the domestic and international context of Australia's defence policy, Australian strategy and the size and state of our armed forces. As the country heads towards a new era, this book provides an in-depth overview and key insights into the past, present and future of Australia's defence.
S. Frühling, Defence Planning and Uncertainty: Preparing for the Next Asia-Pacific War (Abingdon: Routledge, 2014) is a valuable innovative venture. J. L. Gaddis, The Landscape of History: How Historians Map the Past (Oxford: Oxford ...
Author: John Baylis
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 9780198807100
Category: HISTORY
Page: 477
View: 306
"A complete introduction to strategy in the contemporary world, which critically explores the enduring, present and emerging issues dominating the field of strategy." 4e de couv.