Microsimulation Population Projections with SAS

Microsimulation Population Projections with SAS

The book suggests codes that are easy to understand, so they can be replicated or adapted for other purposes. As such, this book provides a great resource for people with beginner to intermediate knowledge in SAS.

Author: Guillaume Marois

Publisher: Springer Nature

ISBN: 9783030791117

Category: Computer simulation

Page: 116

View: 736

This open access book provides a step-by-step overview on how to build a microsimulation model with SAS. It shows how to convert an already existing multistate projection by age, sex, education and region into a microsimulation model. Two new dimensions are then added, either the labor force participation and the sector of activity, and/or some examples of outputs and alternative scenarios that would not be possible with standard demographic methods. The book also describes how to adapt the model for other countries or other purposes. It also provides details on how to extend and adapt the model for other purposes as well as other use of microsimulation with SAS. The book suggests codes that are easy to understand, so they can be replicated or adapted for other purposes. As such, this book provides a great resource for people with beginner to intermediate knowledge in SAS.
Categories: Computer simulation

Simulating Societal Change

Simulating Societal Change

over the period 1981 to 2006; furthermore the model is capable of projecting these landmarks into the near future ... In - Proceedings of the SAS Global Forum 2015 Conference. ... Microsimulation methods for population projection.

Author: Peter Davis

Publisher: Springer

ISBN: 9783030047863

Category: Social Science

Page: 245

View: 447

This book presents a method for creating a working model of society, using data systems and simulation techniques, that can be used for testing propositions of scientific and policy nature. The model is based on the example of New Zealand, but will be applicable to other countries. It is expected that collaborators in other countries can emulate this example with their data systems for teaching and policy purposes, producing a cross-national "collaboratory". This enterprise will evolve with, and to a degree independently of, the book itself, with a supporting website as well as teaching and scientific initiatives. Readers of this text will, for the first time, have a simulation-based working model of society that can be interrogated for policy and substantive purposes. This book will appeal to researchers and professionals from various disciplines working within the social sciences, particularly on matters of demography and public policy.
Categories: Social Science

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions    The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

... Sciences and Education, Panel to Evaluate Microsimulation Models for Social Welfare Programs,National Research Council ... are created during database creation by using control totals from Statistics Canada's population projections.

Author: Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education

Publisher: National Academies Press

ISBN: 9780309045421

Category: Social Science

Page: 359

View: 240

This volume, second in the series, provides essential background material for policy analysts, researchers, statisticians, and others interested in the application of microsimulation techniques to develop estimates of the costs and population impacts of proposed changes in government policies ranging from welfare to retirement income to health care to taxes. The material spans data inputs to models, design and computer implementation of models, validation of model outputs, and model documentation.
Categories: Social Science

Small Area Estimation and Microsimulation Modeling

Small Area Estimation and Microsimulation Modeling

Furthermore, spatial microsimulation modeling is also a data enhancement technique to allow policy analyses to be ... small area effects of policy change and future small area estimates of socioeconomic and population characteristics.

Author: Azizur Rahman

Publisher: CRC Press

ISBN: 9781315354941

Category: Mathematics

Page: 555

View: 218

Small Area Estimation and Microsimulation Modeling is the first practical handbook that comprehensively presents modern statistical SAE methods in the framework of ultramodern spatial microsimulation modeling while providing the novel approach of creating synthetic spatial microdata. Along with describing the necessary theories and their advantages and limitations, the authors illustrate the practical application of the techniques to a large number of substantive problems, including how to build up models, organize and link data, create synthetic microdata, conduct analyses, yield informative tables and graphs, and evaluate how the findings effectively support the decision making processes in government and non-government organizations. Features Covers both theoretical and applied aspects for real-world comparative research and regional statistics production Thoroughly explains how microsimulation modeling technology can be constructed using available datasets for reliable small area statistics Provides SAS codes that allow readers to utilize these latest technologies in their own work. This book is designed for advanced graduate students, academics, professionals and applied practitioners who are generally interested in small area estimation and/or microsimulation modeling and dealing with vital issues in social and behavioural sciences, applied economics and policy analysis, government and/or social statistics, health sciences, business, psychology, environmental and agriculture modeling, computational statistics and data simulation, spatial statistics, transport and urban planning, and geospatial modeling. Dr Azizur Rahman is a Senior Lecturer in Statistics and convenor of the Graduate Program in Applied Statistics at the Charles Sturt University, and an Adjunct Associate Professor of Public Health and Biostatistics at the University of Canberra. His research encompasses small area estimation, applied economics, microsimulation modeling, Bayesian inference and public health. He has more than 60 scholarly publications including two books. Dr. Rahman’s research is funded by the Australian Federal and State Governments, and he serves on a range of editorial boards including the International Journal of Microsimulation (IJM). Professor Ann Harding, AO is an Emeritus Professor of Applied Economics and Social Policy at the National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling (NATSEM) of the University of Canberra. She was the founder and inaugural Director of this world class Research Centre for more than sixteen years, and also a co-founder of the International Microsimulation Association (IMA) and served as the inaugural elected president of IMA from 2004 to 2011. She is a fellow of the Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia. She has more than 300 publications including several books in microsimulation modeling.
Categories: Mathematics

Transportation Statistics and Microsimulation

Transportation Statistics and Microsimulation

... the mean of Poisson distribution varies across the population of individuals according to a gamma distribution. ... The SAS PROC GENMOD procedure provides the maximum likelihood estimate for k in addition to the estimates for the ...

Author: Clifford Spiegelman

Publisher: CRC Press

ISBN: 9781439894545

Category: Mathematics

Page: 384

View: 869

By discussing statistical concepts in the context of transportation planning and operations, Transportation Statistics and Microsimulation provides the necessary background for making informed transportation-related decisions. It explains the why behind standard methods and uses real-world transportation examples and problems to illustrate key conc
Categories: Mathematics

Spatial Microsimulation A Reference Guide for Users

Spatial Microsimulation  A Reference Guide for Users

The Moses model has three essential components – a population reconstruction model (PRM), a dynamic projection module and ... data from the sample of anonymised records (HSAR) and neighbourhood data from the small area statistics (SAS).

Author: Robert Tanton

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

ISBN: 9789400746237

Category: Social Science

Page: 280

View: 536

This book is a practical guide on how to design, create and validate a spatial microsimulation model. These models are becoming more popular as academics and policy makers recognise the value of place in research and policy making. Recent spatial microsimulation models have been used to analyse health and social disadvantage for small areas; and to look at the effect of policy change for small areas. This provides a powerful analysis tool for researchers and policy makers. This book covers preparing the data for spatial microsimulation; a number of methods for both static and dynamic spatial microsimulation models; validation of the models to ensure the outputs are reasonable; and the future of spatial microsimulation. The book will be an essential handbook for any researcher or policy maker looking to design and create a spatial microsimulation model. This book will also be useful to those policy makers who are commissioning a spatial microsimulation model, or looking to commission work using a spatial microsimulation model, as it provides information on the different methods in a non-technical way.
Categories: Social Science

Public Health Reports

Public Health Reports

The microsimulation is programmed in the .NET version of Microsoft® Visual C ++ , 41 using Modgen . ^ 2 We performed statistical analyses using SAS “ version 9.1.43 Population health forecast for California The model combines and parses ...

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN: STANFORD:36105214595683

Category: Public health

Page:

View: 593

Categories: Public health

Subnational Population Estimates

Subnational Population Estimates

“A New Variant of Dual-record Population Estimation with an Application in Remote Indigenous Communities. ... 1538–50 in SAS Institute Inc. Proceedings of the Nineteenth Annual SAS Users Group International Conference.

Author: David A. Swanson

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

ISBN: 9789048189540

Category: Social Science

Page: 414

View: 452

Providing a unified and comprehensive treatment of the theory and techniques of sub-national population estimation, this much-needed publication does more than collate disparate source material. It examines hitherto unexplored methodological links between differing types of estimation from both the demographic and sample-survey traditions and is a self-contained primer that combines academic rigor with a wealth of real-world examples that are useful models for demographers. Between censuses, which are expensive, administratively complex, and thus infrequent, demographers and government officials must estimate population using either demographic modeling techniques or statistical surveys that sample a fraction of residents. These estimates play a central role in vital decisions that range from funding allocations and rate-setting to education, health and housing provision. They also provide important data to companies undertaking market research. However, mastering small-area and sub-national population estimation is complicated by scattered, incomplete and outdated academic sources—an issue this volume tackles head-on. Rapidly increasing population mobility is making inter-census estimation ever more important to strategic planners. This book will make the theory and techniques involved more accessible to anyone with an interest in developing or using population estimates.
Categories: Social Science

The CEPHID modelling project

The CEPHID modelling project

It represents a compromise between the usual cell - based demographic projection models and static aging techniques on the one hand , and fully general dynamic microsimulation models on the other ( e.g. , Rivlin and Weiner , 1988 ) .

Author: Robert E. Wright

Publisher: IRPP

ISBN: 0886451469

Category: Older people

Page: 142

View: 149

This project is a complex set of micro-simulation models and databases which allows users from a wide variety of disciplines to construct and evaluate forecasts and simulations concerned with the causes and consequences of Canada's aging population. Chapter 1 is a brief statement by three representatives of the major funding agencies of the project. Chapter 2 is an overview of the CEPHID project. Chapter 3 presents a series of projections of health status attributes of the elderly. Chapter 4 describes the FADEP model, which is a major component of the CEPHID project. In Chapter 5, CEPHID is used to project the future needs for informal care amongst the elderly. Chapter 6 shows how CEPHID can be used to examine a tightly defined problem. Finally, Chapters 7 and 8 looks at methods of micro-simulation as models to study a variety of substantive issues.
Categories: Older people

A Practitioner s Guide to State and Local Population Projections

A Practitioner s Guide to State and Local Population Projections

On the rate of growth of the population of the United States since 1790 and its mathematical representation. Proceedings of the National ... An introduction to time series analysis and forecasting: With applications of SAS and SPSS.

Author: Stanley K. Smith

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

ISBN: 9789400775510

Category: Social Science

Page: 411

View: 228

This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.​
Categories: Social Science