Practical Modelling of Dynamic Decision Making

Practical Modelling of Dynamic Decision Making

Sources of power: How people make decisions. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 1998. Joel Lawson. Command control as a process. IEEE Control Systems Magazine, 1(1):5–11, 1981. John D. Lee and Katrina A. See. Trust in automation: Designing for ...

Author: Rick Evertsz

Publisher: Springer

ISBN: 9783319951959

Category: Computers

Page: 104

View: 774

This book presents TDF (Tactics Development Framework), a practical methodology for eliciting and engineering models of expert decision-making in dynamic domains. The authors apply the BDI (Beliefs, Desires, Intentions) paradigm to the elicitation and modelling of dynamic decision making expertise, including team behaviour, and map it to a diagrammatic representation that is intuitive to domain experts. The book will be of value to researchers and practitioners engaged in dynamic decision making.
Categories: Computers

Designing and Evaluating E Management Decision Tools

Designing and Evaluating E Management Decision Tools

Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions. MIT Press. Klos T.B., 1999. "Decentralized Interaction and Co-Adaptation in the Repeated Prisoner's Dilemma." Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory, 5/2, 147-165.

Author: Giampiero Beroggi

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

ISBN: 9780387231754

Category: Computers

Page: 254

View: 774

Designing and Evaluating E-Managemnet Decision Tools presents the most relevant concepts for designing intelligent decision tools in an Internet-based multimedia environment and assessing the tools using concepts of statistical design of experiments. The design principle is based on the visual interactive decision modeling (VIDEMO) paradigm. Several case studies are discussed in detail, referring to online preference elicitation, collaborative decision making, negotiation and conflict resolution, and marketing decision optimization. (See www.beroggi.net for more info on the book and Visual Interactive Decision Modeling)
Categories: Computers

Management of Benign Biliary Stenosis and Injury

Management of Benign Biliary Stenosis and Injury

Naturalistic decision making. Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates; 1997. Klein G. Sources of power: how people make decisions. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press; 1998. Klein G. The power of intuition: how to use your gut feelings to make ...

Author: Elijah Dixon

Publisher: Springer

ISBN: 9783319222738

Category: Medical

Page: 429

View: 727

This volume covers the pathophysiology, epidemiology, presentation, diagnosis, medical and surgical management of benign biliary stenosis. The book is uniquely structured in a way that allows areas of controversy to be highlighted through the use of a two chapter format for each topic. Each chapter topic is written by an expert in the field, with a second expert highlighting controversies and offering opposing viewpoints and treatment paradigms through a counterpoint chapter immediately following the primary chapter. The volume also features an array of diagrams and illustrations. As an authoritative text on the clinical care of patients with benign biliary stenosis, Management of Benign Biliary Stenosis and Injury: A Comprehensive Guide is a valuable resource for all practitioners involved in the care of these patients, including gastroenterologists, gastrointestinal surgeons, surgical oncologists, and transplant physicians.​
Categories: Medical

Sport Psychology Essentials

Sport Psychology Essentials

In G. Klein, J. Orasanu, R. Calderwood, and C.E. Zsambok (Eds.), Decision making in action: Models and methods (pp. 138-147). Ablex. Klein, G. 1998. Source of power: How people make decisions. MIT Press. Klein, G. 2008.

Author: Dave Collins

Publisher: Human Kinetics

ISBN: 9781492599432

Category: Athletes

Page: 400

View: 186

Sport Psychology Essentials teaches teams, coaches, and athletes to blend mental skills with physical, technical, and tactical training to achieve performance goals. Discover techniques to improve motivation, imagery, self-regulation, concentration, and more. Examine sport psychology research and real-life success stories.
Categories: Athletes

Understanding Adaptability

Understanding Adaptability

Sources of power: How people make decisions. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Lopes, L. (1986). Aesthetics and decision science. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, SMC-16(3), 434–437. Mayhorn, C. B., Fisk, A. D., & Whittle, ...

Author: C. Shawn Burke

Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing

ISBN: 9780762312481

Category: Psychology

Page: 287

View: 377

Adaptability is becoming a hallmark of effective performance at all levels and types of organizations. As complexity rises within the internal and external environments that organizations operate within, it is no longer acceptable to be able to perform well when things go as expected; instead individuals, teams, and organizations must be able to continuously adapt their knowledge and skills in order to remain competitive in environments which are fluid, often ambiguous, and where multiple pathways to goal attainment exist. Thus, this volume takes a multi-disciplinary approach to increasing our understanding of adaptability within complex environments by integrating cutting-edge work done by experts in the field and compiling it in one volume. Specifically, the volume takes a systems approach in that chapters describe the manifestation and antecedents of adaptability at individual, team, and organizational levels. In addition, the volume presents work on the importance of cultural adaptability, visualization requirements, measurement approaches, training strategies, and selection for adaptive performance.
Categories: Psychology

Process Thinking

Process Thinking

Six Pathways to Successful Decision Making Waymond Rodgers. References. Bazerman, M. H. (2005). Judgment in managerial decision making. New York: Wiley. ... Sources of power: How people make decisions. Boston: MIT Press.

Author: Waymond Rodgers

Publisher: iUniverse

ISBN: 9780595389506

Category: Self-Help

Page: 136

View: 622

How many decisions do you think the average person makes in a day? How can these choices affect our lives, both positively and negatively? Author Waymond Rodgers illustrates four basic concepts of decision making in a single model that produces a limited number of possible courses of action. Process Thinking: Six Pathways to Successful Decision Making allows you to gauge which of the pathways is appropriate for a particular situation. This, in turn, can contribute an overall improvement in your happiness, relationships, finances, education, and employment. "Dr. Rodgers' breakthrough analysis of decision making should be mandatory reading for anyone managing people or negotiating transactions." -Hank Adler, C.P.A., accounting professor, Chapman University, and retired partner, Deloitte & Touche "I think your formulaic approach to decision making will make it much easier for people to make correct choices. Your approach forces decision makers to address the role their own subjective feelings (perceptions) have upon the process. It thereby makes the choice much more objective and rational." -Randall L. Erickson, J.D., partner in the California office of Crowell & Moring and chair of the firm's construction group
Categories: Self-Help

High Angle Rope Rescue Techniques Levels I and II

High Angle Rope Rescue Techniques Levels I and II

Sources of power: how people make decisions (2. ed.). Cambridge, Mass.; London: MIT press. Maintaining Situational Awareness in Emergencies Situational awareness refers to the emergency responder's ability to do the following: ...

Author: Tom Vines

Publisher: Jones & Bartlett Publishers

ISBN: 9781284026955

Category: Medical

Page: 508

View: 678

Your Definitive High Angle Rope Rescue Guide! The fourth edition of High-Angle Rope Rescue Techniques: Levels I & II provides comprehensive coverage of all aspects of high-angle rescue, including planning, PPE and equipment, medical considerations, evacuations, and special rescue operations. Based on the 2013 edition of NFPA 1006, Standard for Technical Rescuer Professional Qualifications, High-Angle Rope Rescue Techniques: Levels I & II provides a broad overview of all rescue techniques to meets the needs of fire service, search and rescue, and many other rope rescue professionals. The fourth edition has been updated to include: Coverage of new protective equipment, terminology, rescue products, and techniques. All new Skill Drills that provide step-by-step instruction on how to execute important skills and procedures. Separation of High-Angle Rope Rescue I and II Level content throughout the textbook and instructor resources.
Categories: Medical

Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis

Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis

... first used in the context of decision analysis by Gary Klein in his 1998 book, Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions. He reported using it in training programs to show decision makers that they typically are overconfident that ...

Author: Heuer J Richards

Publisher: CQ Press

ISBN: 9781608710188

Category: Political Science

Page: 343

View: 368

Richards J. Heuer Jr. and Randolph H. Pherson turn a lifetime of expertise into formalizing, adapting, and standardizing a set of 50 of the most robust analytic techniques in use in intelligence analysis today. This ready reference showcases current and cutting-edge best practices and represents a significant leap forward in depth, detail and utility from existing handbooks. Logically organized and richly illustrated, Structured Analytic Techniques makes it easy to navigate, reference, and put the tools to use right away. Each technique is clearly and systematically explained: when to use, value added, the method, potential pitfalls, examples of how it can be used, its relationship to other techniques, and its origins. THE TECHNIQUES * Getting Started Checklist * Customer Checklist * Issue Redefinition * Chronologies and Timelines * Sorting * Ranking, Scoring, Prioritizing * Matrices * Network Analysis * Mind Maps and Concept Maps * Process Maps and Gantt Charts * Structured Brainstorming * Virtual Brainstorming * Nominal Group Technique * Starbursting * Cross-Impact Matrix * Morphological Analysis * Quadrant Crunching * Basic Scenario Analysis * Alternative Futures Analysis * Multiple Scenario Generation * Indicators * Indicators Validator * Simple Hypothesis * Multiple Hypotheses Generator * Quadrant Hypothesis Generation * Diagnostic Reasoning * Analysis of Competing Hypotheses * Argument Mapping * Deception Detection * Key Assumptions Check * Structured Analogies * Role Playing * Red Hat Analysis * Outside-In Thinking * Policy Outcomes Forecasting Model * Prediction Markets * Premortem Analysis * Structured Self-Critique * What If? Analysis * High Impact/Low Probability Analysis * Devil's Advocacy * Red Team Analysis * Delphi Method * Adversarial Collaboration * Structured Debate * Complexity Manager * Decision Matrix * Force Field Analysis * Pros-Cons-Faults-and-Fixes * SWOT Analysis
Categories: Political Science

Intelligent Accountability

Intelligent Accountability

Sources of error in naturalistic decision making tasks. Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society Annual Meeting, 37(4), 368–371. Klein, G. A. (2017). Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

Author: David Didau

Publisher: John Catt Educational

ISBN: 9781913808730

Category: Educational accountability

Page: 222

View: 268

Uncertainty is a fact of life. You can never know enough to make perfect decisions. Understanding this helps us balance an awareness of our tendency towards overconfidence with an acceptance of our own fallibility. The book discusses two opposed models of school improvement: the deficit model (which assumes problems are someone's fault) and the surplus model (which assumes problems are unintended systemic flaws). By aligning ourselves to a surplus model we can create a system of Intelligent Accountability. The principles that make this possible are trust, accountability and fairness. While we thrive when trusted, unless someone cares about - and is holding us to account - for what we do, we're unlikely to be our best. Some teachers deserve more trust and require less scrutiny than others, but in order to satisfy the demands of equality we end up treating all teachers as equally untrustworthy. The more we trust teachers, the more autonomy they should be given. To pursue a system of fair inequality we must accept that autonomy must be earned.
Categories: Educational accountability

Encyclopedia of Human Computer Interaction

Encyclopedia of Human Computer Interaction

Sources of power: How people make decisions. Cambridge, MA: MIT. McNamara, D. (2001). Reading both high and low coherence texts: Effects of text sequence and prior knowledge. Canadian Journal of Experimental Psychology, 55, 51-62.

Author: Ghaoui, Claude

Publisher: IGI Global

ISBN: 9781591407980

Category: Computers

Page: 780

View: 108

Esta enciclopedia presenta numerosas experiencias y discernimientos de profesionales de todo el mundo sobre discusiones y perspectivas de la la interacción hombre-computadoras
Categories: Computers